Since September 1st, Houston has registered a mere three-quarters of an inch of rain, which is the driest begin to meteorological fall (September-November) since 1953 (0.47″). Extra lately, 1992 solely noticed 1.08″ and the drought-ridden 2011 solely noticed 1.28″ of rain in that very same time interval. It’s the fifth driest begin to autumn on document.
As you’d count on, with yesterday’s drought monitor replace, protection of drought circumstances within the Houston space elevated by over 30 % week over week. We’d like rain. October is generally our second wettest month of the yr (trailing solely July). We common over 5 inches of rain in a typical October. Hopefully we’re capable of money in on some rain possibilities subsequent week. In any other case, look ahead to drought protection to increase much more within the days forward.
No rain within the meantime. Houston formally hit 90 levels on Thursday, and we’ll really feel a contact hotter immediately. Search for low 90s and a little bit of humidity. Clouds will combine with some solar and haze in any other case. Pollen stays painfully excessive because of ragweed, and air high quality will stay on the poor aspect within the morning by way of smog and within the late day by way of floor ozone.
Saturday seems to be pretty much like Friday in most elements. Morning lows could also be a contact hotter because of clouds. Daytime excessive temperatures could also be a pair levels cooler, however we’ll see a great deal of sunshine emerge. Subtly, a weak entrance, which crosses the realm later Friday, will begin to usher in a reinforcing shot of dry air for the weekend days. We should always discover a barely extra nice morning on Sunday with decrease humidity in the course of the day, regardless of highs within the nonetheless within the mid or upper-80s.
Except for it being a bit hotter than traditional, all weekend plans needs to be fantastic.
Early subsequent week
Monday seems to be rather a lot like Sunday and Tuesday rather a lot like Friday. Does that make sense? Nonetheless nice however heat Monday after which hotter and just a little extra humid on Tuesday.
Mid to late subsequent week
On Wednesday, it seems we really get a legitimately sturdy surge of humidity into the realm, which is able to make it really feel extra like late summer season. Wednesday and Thursday appear unlikely candidates for “comfy” climate. Search for upper-80s by day and 70s by evening. Past that, there are questions as to the timing and energy of a chilly entrance and the way a lot moisture it should provide. That can decide the extent of our rain possibilities for subsequent week. Whereas I’m longing for some rain, this isn’t prone to be the drought-denter we’re in search of.
Right here in Houston, we now have no issues. We’ve got gotten some questions concerning the Caribbean disturbance, which is now Tropical Despair 13. The official forecast for TD 13 brings it due west throughout the Caribbean into Central America, particularly Nicaragua by the tip of the weekend as a hurricane.
Fortunately, that is transferring shortly and is abnormally far south, so hopefully that limits its depth upside and subsequent impacts to Central America. However for these of you touring to Cancun or Cozumel this weekend, you’ll be fantastic. These of you with pursuits in different Central American nations will wish to monitor this storm’s progress. The subsequent title on the record is Julia.